The exception to this rule is turf routes. This he or she becomes a vulnerable favorite. . Heres an example. BasicsThe FlatStats Daily Stats page shows a selection of stats for today's racing. -. When a horse is entered in a specific claiming race for a certain price, the owner and trainer are stating what they believe the horse is worth. Travellers, In Form Trainer class today should be tossed out. Alternatively, you can read the Bovada Racebook review first. Table ranked by ratio of place strike rate to win strike rate. Guest are limited to viewing 3 items per table. Subscribe today and have instant access to all of our systems, stats and ratings! DAVE HENRY If a horse is dramatically dropping in class. Not taking odds and favoritism into account as a quick over-all stat class droppers win almost three times as many races as class risers! Horse Handicapping: Finding and Betting Class Drops - horseracinggold.com d) First condition allowance races where all the horses have showed they can not win at In claiming races, it's quite simple to determine if a horse is going up or down in class. It would be good if you offered a free trial for people, even if it's just for a day so people can look around the full site and see what it has to offer. Many punters like to follow and bet on horses who have been dropped in class. Unsound ones with problems do not. The horse has been doing well. With so many different levels at different tracks its often challenging to determine if a horse is moving up in class or down in class in todays race and by how much. My question is simple.Does Flatstats display the number of wins each trainer has achieved at every course in UK together with percentage wins at each course.? US Racing is not a racebook or ADW, and does not accept or place wagers of any Alternatively, you can read the Cafe Casino review first. Jump Online Sports Betting Goes Live in Louisiana, Top Gifts for Horse Racing Fans & Bettors, Ultimate tips for online horse race betting, nice bonus, and more when you sign up today, Twin Spires Is The Official Betting Partner Of The Breeders Cup, Death of Jockey Megan Taylor at Ashburton Raceway. Click here to visit Cafe Casino! Sign up to get the latest insights delivered straight to your inbox. The term is defined as: In other words, at some tracks - moving around in a group of class levels can be relatively easy while at other tracks jumping up from one of these same levels to the next higher might be very tough. c) Raced within 30 days and two works within 14 days I used to call it the second drop. Today, the class drop may be enough to help the horse achieve a win. This is extremely good handicapping information to have at If a horse in relatively good form faces weaker competition, it's logical to believe that the lesser competition will enable the horse dropping down to shine. Here is the full list of racehorses who are running today and have been Dropped in Class. Handicappers, Well HCP% Run, BetTurtle Horse Below areraces fromthis past Sunday, July 22. TrForm Favourite Stats, Trainer National Hunt Sire must have had 10 wins on AW to be included. When using your system builder is it currently possible to see past results from these?? ALSO THE RATE OF WINS IS ONLY 16%, BUT THE AVERAGE PRICE PAYOFF IS ABOUT $11.60 AND AVERAGE LENGTHS IMPROVEMNET WAS 6 1/4 . It would be nice if we could come up with a neat way of judging and handicapping for class. Basic will show standard stats figures such as wins, runs, strike rate, A/E and profit. So, would you say that that race had the same class or lower than other years? But, like I said, I dont have any statistical evidence that its worthwhile. I want find records of historical winning SP to class of of race rating - Flat & NH do you have these ? I hope, though, that the results will re-enforce in your mind one of the over-riding facts of handicapping and betting horse races: Horses dropping in class win far more than they should. Nobody gives anything away at the racetrack. a) Claimers, non-winners of two lifetime. Theres problems with this horse and we want to get rid of it (even so often while also trying to grab one last purse). 1 in Kentucky Derby Top 10. So, from this we can go to another `A` event and then say whether this particular event was better, poorer or the same as another `A` event. The first race back has already taken too much Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Trainer BetTurtle - Horses Dropping In Class A horse that can only run a half-mile in :48 seconds is unlikely to ever beat a horse that can run the same distance in :44 seconds. Toss it. It has Very informative from all of you folks, but I wouldnt expect much less from the people Gary keeps company with. Bovada is our favorite pick for USA Bettors! HORSE ODDS POS CHANGE STATS TRAINER Claiming races works similar to the allowances except the owner must sell the horse in claiming races for the price entered at and these class varies in two ways: 1st; the lower the claiming price the lower the class these horses will usually run against, and 2; the N/W 1, N/W 2, N/W 3, etc are the lowest to the best in each claiming level . A class drop is always an important factor in handicapping a race. Only horses who have earned win or place prize money on this surface included. Can help identify horses that may improve. Subscribers can visit the Races-Search Runners page or one of the BetTurtle race cards. The fastest athlete wins. Just outside the top tier of horses in the 2022 Kentucky Derby odds is Zozos (39-1), whose owners, Barry and Joni Butzow, hail from Minnesota. EXAMPLE: 16 L BACK IN 2CD LAST RACE AND 4 LENGTHS BACK IN LAST RACE == 12 L. DIFFERENCE WOULD BE BET OVER AN 8 LENGTHS IMPROVEMENT OF ANOTHER CONTENDER. Beyer #s and recent success, have become so over used that prices have become surpressed over the last few decades. Today : Tomorrow: DATE COURSE TIME NO. No Recent Victories Lets say a horse achieved its only win in a Maiden Claiming Race for $20,000. TO DAVE HENRYAND ALL Analysing huge priced winners tipped on FlatStats, Mark Johston out of form going into Glorious Goodwood, Draw Bias for the major Group 1 races at Epsom, Racing Data Charts - Avg SP of Group Favourites, Trainer, Owner, Sire, Jockey Stats for York Racecourse, Horse Racing Stats for 4th Mar 2023 - All Meetings. Data, 90 Day Tipping The only way to make money at the racetrack is to think and act differently than your The two races are of completely different classes. 3. Class Changers. Distance wins are from both all weather and turf. Results: There were 64 double-digit winners during this one week's span at these tracks. Copyright 2023 US Racing, All Rights Reserved. A horse with this type of "form" should clearly be stepped up in class, or at an absolute minimum, kept at the same level. The question will invariably be posed, how do you evaluate a graduate in terms of class. e.g. m/f 2022 Kentucky Derby horses, top contenders, odds, date: Expert who If a horse is wearing Blinkers for the first time it may have worn other head gear previously. Think for just a second about how human athletes compete in sports. 50% free bets up to $250 5% cash back. Stats, Jockey Flat Handicapped, Class class drop is important lets not forget the age of the horse also i feel classdrop in horse 5yrs and under in males and gelding come pair to females is important just notice it males in c/d seem to put there heart into it notice 5yr old gelding nest time but as we all know what looks solid couse of action today dies tomorrow also time off between c/d is important to me unless horse is w.o. Trainer Jones has been running his horse in $15,000 claiming races. Only horses who have earned win or place prize money on this surface included. Top 10 rider or a Top 10 trainer and you have a probable favorite in the race, especially if it is However, if its first race back has been stressful (dueled with All information provided by this Days Stats, Jockey Flat Some of the tables are basic count stats, such as showing horses with the most Course Wins, whilst some are more complex such as the Sires Turf to All Weather A/E ratio. Stats for combination runs on this code only. If a horse is dramatically dropping in class I set up British Racecourses with the desire to share my passion for racing with other like-minded people. But it got me wondering? Take action today, and your horse handicapping, and horse racing betting will make a huge leap into the profit zone. As an example, a non-winners-of-two Allowance races for older males at Santa Anita would carry a class rating of 155. Suspicious Drop in Class today. Today's The stats can be viewed in basic or advanced mode and are colour coded so that you can quickly see very good (blue) and very bad (red) stats. I've presented this short research only to make a generalized point: Using the horses form string determine which horses perform well given the conditions of today's race. Trainer race. However, also consider this: If that horse was not good enough in a graded stakes, and the trainer took a class drop, there is a reason for it. Only horses with at least 5 runs and at least 1 place included. A good rule of thumb is to assign a preliminary class rating of half the value of the horses sole win. First Time Head Gear applies to the exact item being worn today. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Trainer JOCKEY CHANGE DROPPING MUST BE A SUPERIOR JOCK OR BUG BOY WITH WEIGHT OFF.. LITTLE REGARDED IS WHEN BARN/JOCK MAKE CHOICE OF THIS HORSE I. E. RATHER THAN OTHER HIDES JOCK HAS BEEN ON IN LAST THREE OR FOUR RACES JOCK MAY HAVE BEEN RIDING THREE OTHER HORSES IN THIS RACE BUT HAS MADE CHOICE OF TODAYS MOUNT WATCH THESE AND WATCH YOUR PROFITS GROW!!!! Run, BetTurtle Horse Minimum of 30 runs to qualify. involved. This applies to a horse that hasnt won in its last 10 races. speed where it can lay close to the pace (within three lengths at the first call). e.g.To find the best Trainer and Jockey combination today click All MeetingsIf there are meetings on turf and all weather and you want to find the best combination on turf click Turf MeetingsIf you want to find the best combination at a specific meeting then click the name of the RacecourseIf you want to find the best combination in a specific race click the Race Time. Do you have stats such as % of top weight winners in handicaps & nurserys? Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. If a horse is wearing Blinkers for the second time it may have worn other head gear previously. BetTurtle Horse Racing Software You can make money from EZ Horse Betting with all sorts of angles. Wins at the course (all weather track). Jockey, Horse Stats By Race Class drops are just one approach. How to Figure Horses Dropping in Class After Being Claimed Recently, on the " Homeless Handicappers " Facebook page, a member asked about a horse named Tribal Jewel, who had been claimed for $16,000 at Del Mar on Nov. 25 and was subsequently entered for an $8,000 tag at Santa Anita on Jan. 6. Copyright 2023 British Racecourses - britishracecourses.org is intended for the sole use of the individuals over 18 years of age. 9 Lets take American football as an example. Heres an example of how a class drop in claiming races works. the wagering regulations in your jurisdiction as they vary from state to state, province to province and Why not Subscribe Now and view the full stats for today? Jockey, Horse Stats By Race Trainer, Trainer All Weather The best of the best wind up in the National Football League. Handicapping class levels in horse racing can be difficult for many horse players. The two races are of completely different classes. So, I wonder if there are possible angles in a horses 2nd and 3rd attempts after some other event, such as a claim. Horses which won last time out on either flat turf or all weather surface. 8 It really is that simply. suspicious class drops Archives - A Game of Skill Runners, One Runner A dropped head is a sign your horse is relaxed and feeling good, and his ears will often hang to the side as well. Stats, Trainer National Hunt Finding that vulnerable 33% of the time. proposition. Results, Course Arrived at your site by accident and found it one of the most informative and interesting racing sites, well done. Here are the filters * we use that help us find the list of horses that on average will provide 80% of the winners each day.. Theoretically, it will now be facing horses closer to its own skill level. Needless to say, there is not a consensus on the subject. If you are wondering which horses are running today in a different class type? we have you covered. Horse Handicapping Articles (click to view/read) Making a Betting Line Success And Luck Turn Time - the hidden fraction Track Specific Spot Plays If they plan two races of two similar classes both for horses raced 70-120, say, and in one race horses with the Official Rating of 70 turn up and in the other only horses rated 120 start, would it be fair to say that these two races are of the same class? However; after 26 years in the game, I've concluded one thing: Race betting can be a whole lot simpler than some "experts" try to make it out to be. thaskalos. Summary Overview, Malcolm's Method Value Runners, Shrewd Trainer this level. By developing products like BetTurtle, our goal is to make horse racing more rewarding for our customers. Now, the party`s classification was dropped but the same people turned up. Fame, Betting There are so many possible factors for consideration when handicapping a horse race and such a multitude of opinions on how to best handicap the races key factors are often lost in the haze of information overload. Stats, Tipping Hall of the influx of information available to the average player today. Only horses with at least 10 runs included. Trainer, Course Stats By HORSE ODDS POS CHANGE STATS TRAINER JOCKEY OR FM SP F A C V M PICK; 7 Feb 2023: MARKET RASEN: 1:45: 2: CEDAR ROW 100: The trainer decides that a class drop is in order and enters the horse in a $10,000 race. The line maker, employed by the track, is a savvy Your email address will not be published. 4. Rating View stats tables for today's horse racing meetings at Lingfield and Wolverhampton. Horse Handicapping: Finding and Betting Class Drops. (Three-year-old and two-year-old races earn higher RCLs as the year progresses, to reflect both the maturation process and the increase in number of horses racing. Horse Period. Since the Grade I race is five points higher than a Grade II race, the Grade I race is considered to be one class level stronger than a Grade II race. This is why one can get the interesting situation of a horse running in Class C race and is dropping is class from the Class D race last week. today and looks too good to be true, it probably is. Lucky Jim is wearing Blinkers for the second time but has previously worn different headgear. Stats, All Green This is slightly better than betting horses at random but heres where it starts to get interesting. A horse is said to be moving up in class (or jumping) when it moves from one set of race conditions to another, such as from maiden special to allowance, or from a claiming race for $25,000 to one for $35,000. CPos Are you loking for horse handicapping? If the meeting or race is all weather then these horses are having their first run on all weather. d) Has not raced in 30 days but has at least three drills in the last 20 days. In this guide we look at horses who have been dropped in class, this means they are running against weaker horses than in their last race. I'm going to look at class (and class drops) in claiming races in the simplest way possible. is going to take place? ?--or is this available in november? representation or endorsement of any activities offered by any reviewed racebook or ADW. Its a great question. When a horse takes a class drop this means it is taking a step down where competition is concerned. YOU MAY EVEN SEE A HORSE THAT WON ITS LAST AND RIDER IS NOT ON TODAY WHEN RIDER HAS BEEN OFF OF TWO OR THREE OTHER HORSES LIMIT JOCK ON HORSES OF LAST THREE OR FOUR RACES ONLY. NEWS.. No It doesnt take a Pittsburgh Phil to figure out that Tribal Jewel was the best horse in this race, but is he the best horse now on Jan. 6? Pretty successful over the past , Bad Winter Forces Ortiz Brothers to Gulfstream, Jockeying for Position: Prat, Rispoli Heading to New York, Eddie Macs Book: A Pick 3 Wager Singling Classic Causeway in Tampa Bay Derby, Tampa Bay Derby: Classic Causeway The One To Beat, Run to the Roses: Forbidden Kingdom No. Please email me with any questions at cv. 03-09-2013, 02:24 PM. What do you guys and gals do when you see this? The member asked. All handicappers that have been in the game for more than a few months know of the class-drop factor. Stats, Jockey National Hunt If you are really struggling with a class, dropping . This is called the Back to racing; consider the Derby the in 2004. Today's Grade Droppers Biggest drop in prize money from last start Horse Name Race Details Drop in $ Drop in % 4. admin@UKHorseRacing.co.uk, Introduction . Just because they have an idea of the type of class of race it doesn't mean for a moment that is what they are going to get. 2] IF THE LENGTHS AT THE FINISH!!! b) Raced within 24 days and a work within eight days Required fields are marked *. The exception to this rule is the class droppers win almost three times as many races as class risers! Alternatively, you can read the Ignition Casino review first. Any horse trying a new distance today sprint-to-route or vice versa is a risky (This data does not include; how many up-in-class horses were in these races (perhaps some of them contained no class risers), how many last-race winners there were, how many droppers lost, how many low odds droppers won - etc. Included are; Optional claimers, starter handicaps and allowance races (as well as stakes races) - as opposed to straight claimers (at similar price levels) where the horse can be lost via a claim. Stats, All Green Ratio of sires All Weather A/E to Turf A/E. We would say that it was lower. Also, everyone knows to pay attention to a horse making its 2nd, 3rd, or 4th attempt following a layoff. We support responsible gambling, so in case you require information about gambling addiction or need support please use the link BeGambleAware. So the question is when do you know when that favorite is going to win? "Class drops" (any drop in claiming price or drop from a "protected" race into an open race) will be shown in gold - class jumps in blue. Runners, One Runner Trying a New Distance or Surface Today These are the types of races where the class levels are most obvious (though not always so when considering the restrictions involved in some claiming races) as opposed to some of the other categories of races. Horse Racing Grade Droppers - Free List of Horses Dropping in Grade Betting Gods might be something worth checking out, 2013 - 2023 EzHorseBetting.com. Got any racing systems or stats questions?Email: q198 = 'frank';n278 = 'flatstats.co.uk';document.write('');document.write(q198 + '@' + n278 + ''); Enter a word or phrase in the box to search the whole FlatStats site. Note that AW will include both Fibresand and Polytrack results. Table ranked by number of days since last win. Jockey Each stat is displayed in a table and shows the name, profit, or ROI% of the stat. individual. Lucky Jim is wearing Blinkers for the first time but has previously worn different headgear. There are many tables on this page but each of them are useful for analysing today's races from a stats point of view. If they are good players, perhaps they make it to a college team. Interestingly, Bella was claimed in this race as well and, on Nov. 15, 2016, competed in a $10,000 claiming affair for a $30,000 purse. Changers, Distance The times to play these horses are when the odds are acceptable to offset the risk Favourite Stats, Trainer All Weather 1] FIND ALL HORSES WHOSE DROPPING IN CLASS [2CD] RACE BACK TO THE LAST RACE [[AND]] TODAYS CLASS IS LOWER OR EQUAL TO THE CLASS OF THE LAST RACE. The table below includes all the double-digit winners from straight claiming races of 5 to 9 furlongs at the tracks issued by Horse Racing Gold for the week of June, 9th through June, 13th. Favourite Stats, Jockey All Weather W-R figures obtained from flat turf and all weather runs. while false favorites do not. You can do this by clicking on the sires name on the racecard and looking at his A/E stat at Southwell. A horse making it's first ever race course debut will have Flat Runs of 0. The term "classy" is most often applied to horses who run winning races in the higher purse levels at the track, or circuit where they compete - but that doesn't really help. Fame, Betting Click here to visit Bovada! The Vulnerable Favorite - by Rod Young Turfdom - Today's Racing Digest Within each of these categories are also many levels. Stl Travellers, In Form Trainer Stats, Tipping Hall of Your email address will not be published. Click the Reset Button to clear existing filters. Race Ratings, Race Title The statistics on class-droppers are surprising, and show just how important this factor can be . You would not expect a high school team to perform well against a group of NFL veterans. Should You Drop A Class? Does It Look Bad? Why? - PrepScholar Runners, Available Data ITS ALSO GOOD IF YOU GET TYPE OF HORSE TO BEAT THE FAVORITE OR EXACTA BOX IT WITH THE FAVORITE SOMETIMES TO GET YOUR R.O.I UP. ITS BEEN AROUND A LONG TIME. First, we have to decide who the public will make the favorite in a given race. Any horse that drops suspiciously in. Please confirm The Take a peek at the digits on horses that finished in the money (third or better) and were claimed in their last race: Number: 10,350. A layoff is defined as 90 days or more. Horse has won at least one race. The Digest does this by designating a number, anywhere from 75 to 210, to each race. c) Any race in which none of the participating horses can run to par for that given Throw in a Table ranked by earnings per start. There are some positive things to look for as well. Race Information Are there any easy-to-spot signs that make a suspicious drop in class following a claim, well, suspicious? Last ran figure from the flat turf or all weather only. The favorite must have at least tactical Flat Runs includes runs from both flat turf and all weather. By assigning a numerical value to a race it allows the you to easily discern the quality of one class of horses from another. Stats, Longest In the Race Information description at the top of each page we describe how we calculate the class of a race. fail in any one area, toss them out. For that reason, many punters like to bet on horses who have dropped in class. The higher the number, the stronger the race. All races are contests of speed. NOT LENGTHS UNLESS NEAR 6 1/4L Maidens typically improve in its second life time start. Koulds Scoring The data in the table is a powerful resource which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. Required fields are marked *, The welfare of humanity is always the alibi of tyrants. Albert Camus, The first panacea for a mismanaged nation is inflation of the currency; the second is war. Read more about Sample Size and Confidence Figures. By Noel Michaels The leading riders at the New York winter meet at Aqueduct are Dylan Davis, Trevor McCarthy, Kendrick Carmouche, and Manny Franco. Should a horse fail on any of these rules (even one of them) Above Average Edge, Case Studies Minimum of 10 runs to qualify. 2nd race off a Layoff BetTurtle - Horses Dropping In Class The question to ask yourself is has this horse recently been competitive at todays class level and if not have they ever been competitive at this level? To easily determine if a horse has ever been competitive at todays current class level the Digest gives you the highest class level each horse has been proven effective (2-year -old races are not considered). We don't use the BHB classifications as this is nothing but a wish on behalf of the BHB on they would want the line-up of the race to be. A similar race at Turf Paradise is rated at 130. Mini Horse Facts - Scott Creek Miniature Horse Farm I'll make a few generalized assumptions before showing you some recent figures . "Horses dropping by 30% or more win 378% of their rightful share of races!". ), A Grade I race for older males has an RCL of 210, with Grade II older males receiving a 205. Knowing about Street Shark's performance exiting the July 23 race, I could not possibly understand why the horse that beat him was suddenly be dropped in class. Results, Course It could mean that the horse is no longer suitable for racing and its trainer wishes to unload it on some unsuspecting buyer. Yet favorites do win races, generally Runners, Shrewd Trainer To refine and discover your own preferred betting angles, why not register an account today with one of our recommended horse betting sites. If the trainer doesn't have enough confidence in the horse to keep trying at the higher level races pay . A horse is moving down in class (or dropping) in reverse circumstances, such as allowance to claiming or graded to restricted stakes. Class droppers won 11 of those, or 61% of them. No Speed The following lists the rules (or criteria) to which the horse must adhere. Therefore, horses in a $10,000 claiming race can be bought by anyone with an owners license and $10,000. given date. Zozos will be their first Kentucky Derby entry after . Advertising on UK Horse Racing. To find out, I consulted my racing database and heres what I found. Being able to correctly assess a horses class will help you determine if it has been entered in a race where it can be competitive. 33.33%. 9. Not surprisingly, Tribal Jewel finished a well-beaten sixth as the 8-5 favorite. All major credit cards are accepted & Bitcoin. Suspicious class drops [Archive] - Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage I GOT A SYSTEM LONG AGO THAT WAS CALLED THE DROP DOWN COVER UPSYSTEM. Tips for Evaluating Maidens Dropping in Class